[Salon] Netanyahu’s unwinnable war



Netanyahu’s unwinnable war

Summary: the Israeli PM has once again seemingly wrecked efforts to secure a ceasefire in Gaza while rubbing salt in the wound by shuttering Al Jazeera’s operations in Israel.

The lead editorial in yesterday’s Haaretz edition was scathing. In response to Sunday’s closure of Al Jazeera’s office in Jerusalem on the orders of the Netanyahu government the Israeli daily said:

In making this anti-democratic decision, Israel took a step down the slippery slope on the way to becoming a country that silences people. Previous governments that closed Al-Jazeera's offices were Egypt and the Gulf countries. In any case, Al-Jazeera shouldn't be shuttered, but doing so may turn out to be only a preface to a policy in which any media outlet, Israeli or international, that the government doesn't like is shut down. That's how it is when there's an extreme right-wing government that has declared war on freedom of _expression_ and on the rule of law in Israel.

The government justified its decision by claiming Al Jazeera, whose owners are Qatar’s ruling family, was “a mouthpiece for Hamas.”

Doha has worked hard toward achieving a ceasefire and a release of more hostages after being instrumental in an early temporary pause in the fighting that saw 105 hostages released. And it looked that over the past week-end real progress was being made until Benjamin Netanyahu appeared to have wrecked the talks by placing new demands on the table and then doubling down with the shuttering of Al Jazeera.

Israeli critics of Netanyahu, many of whom can be found in the pages of Haaretz, were quick to draw what seems an obvious conclusion. “Netanyahu is fleeing from a hostage deal. The closer it gets, the faster he runs to avoid it” Yossi Verter wrote before adding:

At least twice in recent months he has sabotaged the sensitive moves toward a deal, whether through public statements or covert messages, or by curbing the mandate of the negotiating team. It was no different this time.

Meanwhile the IDF has ramped up preparations for a land invasion of the already besieged and partly destroyed city of Rafah in the south of Gaza which is housing more than 1 million refugees from Gaza City, Khan Younis and farming communities in the north of the Strip. On Monday morning an IDF spokesperson detailed what he called “a limited operation” that is coupled with an order that 100,000 people leave immediately. They were told to move north to a thin strip of land along the Mediterranean coast, land that humanitarian aid organisations have said is uninhabitable. Hamas called the order a “dangerous escalation.”


Students at the University of Oxford set up a Gaza Solidarity encampment on Monday morning [photo credit: @DalrympleWill]

Whether Friday’s decision by Türkiye’s President Erdoğan to immediately halt all trade with Israel impacted Netanyahu's thinking isn’t known. But the Israeli PM, already facing significant pressure from Washington and its other allies in Europe and elsewhere still seems hellbent on carrying forward a war that many analysts are saying he has already lost and that is turning the country he leads into a global pariah state.

Erdoğan in announcing the ban said "Israeli bombardment of defenceless Palestinians" meant that Türkiye could no longer remain idle. The two countries shared US$7 billion in trade, of which US$5.4 billion is Israeli purchases of Turkish goods and services. The ban will hit Türkiye’s already damaged economy. However, given the strength of feeling in support of Palestine and the anger towards Israel coursing through the country the embargo will serve to shore up Erdoğan’s domestic position.

Useful too for Erdoğan that he is the first regional leader to take serious actions against the Israeli war machine. Only Yemen’s Huthis, a quasi-state actor, can claim a similar stance with their attacks on shipping in the Red Sea .Whether that will give Saudi Arabia and the UAE pause for thought as they strive to keep relations with Israel on the front foot is far from a given though both states are acutely aware of the strength of support for the Palestinian cause among their own subjects.

And Joe Biden watching from Washington must surely have been regretting that Anthony Blinken’s latest efforts to secure a ceasefire deal had seemingly unravelled just when it appeared a deal was in the offing.

Unless, of course, an agreement does suddenly appear. Last night Hamas announced it was accepting a deal pushed hard by Qatar and Egypt with Washington’s backing. No details had emerged on precisely what the deal is though there are suggestions that Hamas has dropped its requirement for a full and final ceasefire and accepted a 40 day halt with the understanding to work towards a permanent ceasefire. Hamas said that "the ball is now in the court of Israeli occupation, whether it will agree to the ceasefire agreement or obstruct it."

The pressure now shifts back to Netanyahu who is caught between his extremist cabinet ministers and Washington. It is likely he will try yet again to play for time with the risk that in his desperation to avoid the collapse of his government he carries out an action so extreme that Hamas withdraws its agreement.

Meanwhile back at the White House President Biden will look back at a week where university campuses across America were roiled in protests and forward to the presidential election and surely begin to wonder how many votes his unrelenting support for Israel is costing him.

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